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Kansas City is opening as 9.5-point favorites for this divisional-round game versus Houston. Also, the total has hit the UNDER in 5 of the last 6 for the Chiefs. Here are the current odds:
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The Chiefs have won six straight games, and thanks to their victory over Miami in Week 17, they obtained a first-round BYE.
Kansas City entered the playoffs with 12-4 SU and 11-5 ATS records, with six games in a row covering, and 4-1 ATS playing at Arrowhead Stadium.
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After a regular-season or playoffs BYE week, teams managed by Andy Reid are 17-9 ATS and 22-4 SU. And, since he joined Kansas City, the head coach is 5-4 ATS and 6-3 SU.
There’s a betting trend even more relevant than Reid’s win-loss stats: the UNDER has hit in twenty of the previous 26 games, and 7 of 9 meetings since he joined the Chiefs. Although the Chiefs offensive lineup will get most of the attention heading to this meeting, their defensive lineup has also been getting stronger and healthier for the past two months. The defense for this team allowed just 87 rushing yards per contest and ranked 6th in the last three meetings of the season. The Chiefs’ defense ranked 8th versus passing offensives, allowing just 221 yards per meeting.
Chiefs Injury Report: Juan Thornhill was forced to leave the Week 17 game versus Los Angeles Chargers due to a torn ACL. Also, CB Morris Claiborne is currently suffering a shoulder injury, and so he’s also questionable for the match versus the Texans.
The Texans trailed for most of their game versus the Bills, and it was only the magic by Deshaun Watson that allowed this team to get the close 22-19 OT victory over Buffalo.
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The Texans were able to cover, improving their record for this season to 11-6 SU and 8-8-1 ATS. Houston is currently 5-2-1 across the spread on away games.
Luck was on Houston’s side, as they were dealing with a talented but inexperienced quarterback in Josh Allen. That lack of postseason maturity is what handed the Texans different chances to rally back and snap this win out of the hands of Buffalo.
The Bills rushed for 172 yards on 5.7 yards per carry, and the team was able to convert eleven of 21 third downs. With that said, 4 of this team’s total drives stalled, and the Texans forced Buffalo to kick four field goals.
With that said, Kansas City is a team that doesn’t need to make it to the red zone or cross the midfield to attack the 29th-ranked pass defense by Houston.
And so, if the Texans want to a second win over the Chiefs this season, they will need to avoid handling Patrick Mahomes any scoring opportunities at all.
Texans Injury Report: Will Fuller V is likely to come back from a groin injury. And, if Fuller can play at least sixty minutes, he will considerably open the playbook for DeAndre Hopkins and Watson. But for now, Fuller remains questionable.
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